Mark Thoma comments on Why Next to No Political Reaction to the Second Gilded Age?, by Brad DeLong.
DeLong asks:
But the political economy of Gilded Ages? Why the first Gilded age produces a Populist and a Progressive reaction and the second, so far, does not? There I throw up my hands and say that my economic historian training betrays me. I have no clue as to what is going on here.
Thoma's response is:
I think it matters a lot whether we think of inequality as arising from a problem in the system as a whole, or as the result of individual failures. When people think it's the system as a whole — the rich and powerful are scheming to hold everyone else down (e.g. robber barons) — mass movements are more likely than when it is viewed as simply the failings of individuals.
I think both DeLong and Thoma miss several important points:
- The populist movements of the early 20th Century arose as a reaction to several trends:
- The great depression of the 1890's
- The rapid industrialisation of the USA from 1890 to 1930 as agriculture gave way to industry as the main employer
- Rise of Socialist thought (among which was Marxism and the various strands of Anarchism)
- The rapid growth and radicalisation of the union movement in response to these trends
- In the past 30 years, the union movement has been defeated again and again. The main defensive weapon of the workers is now in a much weaker state now than a century ago.
- In the 1930's, there was a serious alternative to the Capitalist system in the form of the USSR. Ideologically and economically, Communism was seen as superior to Capitalism especially during the Great Depression.
- The fall of the USSR has removed that alternative from the public consciousness.
- There have been several significant mass movements over the past 15 years:
- The Anti-Globalisation movements starting in Seattle in 1999.
- The Anti-War movements of 2003. (See 15 February 2003)
- The various Occupy movements starting in 2011.
- The Arab Spring starting in 2012
I think the populist movements alluded to be DeLong and Thoma were the last real chance of the Capitalist system to bribe the workers away from Communism. The advent of neo-liberalism has destroyed that project once and for all.
There is a political reaction to the second Gilded Age, but it is muted as the traditional expressions of popular will have been emasculated.
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