2008/06/23

23 June 1789

On 23 June 1789, King Louis XVI decided to show who was the boss. The National Assembly disagreed.

J.M.Thompson's opinion is:

It soon appeared that the king's stand had come too late, and could only be maintained by arms. A display of force was, indeed, made: when the deputies arrived at the Parliament-house on June 23rd, they found it surrounded by troops. But this threat of violence, and the absence of the popular minister, served only to strengthen the spirit of resistance. Nor did the Commons now stand alone. On the previous day they had been joined by the Archbishops of Vienne and Bordeaux, at the head of a hundred and fifty clerical deputies. After listening to 280 speeches in five days, these representatives of the First Estate had at last decided to throw in their lot with the Third. Thus strengthened, the National Assembly was in no mood either to be intimidated or to be cajoled. (p.22)

...

Thus, in terms as clear as French could make them, the Assembly was reminded that it was only being allowed to play at reform. Louis could refuse to sanction what the deputies proposed: he could force them to accept what they disliked. He claims to have done everything hitherto by himself: he will, if necessary, dismiss them, and proceed alone. He will do for France what Frederick has done for Prussia, Catherine for Russia, Joseph for Austria. He will be the Benevolent Despot for whom the country has been waiting so long. (p.23)

Emphasis Mine

The French Revolution
By J. M. Thompson

Louis wanted to manage incremental change. The new Capitalists wanted to get the priviliged bludgers off their backs.

Historians, such as Thompson, reviled Louis as weak and indecisive. The system failed Louis by placing him in that position. A heriditary monarchy has only one path of succession. It cannot consider better candidates.

And yet the system expected the monarch to be far better because they are the monarch.

The evolution of French Feudalism has reached a dead-end in Louis XVI from a mob of lawless ruffians posing as lords of the castle to an ossified system of privileges that depended on the character of the monarch for its survival. (An 18th century version of the CEO myth.)

Even then, the Third Estate wanted to proceed incrementally. Revolution was not thought of yet. This was to change dramatically in the space of a few weeks.

The Third Estate were not intellectually prepared for what was about to explode. The American Revolution had been about a colony seeking self-government and ending up with independence.

The English Revolution had been almost rolled back by the Restoration. The ideals of the Levellers and others were too dangerous.

And yet, without class analysis, one must resort to conspiracy theories about secret societies controlling human destiny. There were secret societies because revoultionaries in an authoritarian state must work underground.

But the French Revolution was about people taking control of their destiny for a short time before the new ruling class wanted to stay in power instead of following the monarchy.

Tom Peters says to do it All At Once! He gives a good analogy of the difference between Reform (incremental change) and Revolution (change everything).

I'm an avowed incrementalist—even if the aim is stratospherically high. That is, get going ASAP—and quickly experiment your way toward/to success.

...

Between my little project and Wendy Kopp's Richter 8.0 project, and Dubai and Korea, I am pondering the circumstances when "do it all at once and figure out what 'it' is and how to do it on the fly" is the right answer. There is no doubt that such conditions exist—though the key, beyond the compelling dream, is the raw talent and energy and enthusiasm and obsession and resilience of the participants. It is 99.99% (or more) a matter of raw emotion—not a matter of analytically identifying a big opportunity, assigning "good people," and then proceeding based on state-of-the-art project management software.

Emphasis Mine

I suppose the Party should invest in some project management software??


Read more!

2008/06/22

No Blood for Oil!

Remember 15 February 2003 when 10 million people said, "No Blood for Oil!".

Well, five years later, we got plenty of blood and we are running out of oil!

Yves Smith asks "Did the Iraq War Cause High Oil Prices?"

An oil economics specialist, Mamdouh Salameh, who advises the World Bank and the UN Industrial Development Organisation, contends that oil prices would be at less than 1/3 of their current level had the US not invaded iraq.

Emphasis Mine

Prof Juan Cole lists the costs to Iraqis in The Real State of Iraq:

By now, summer of 2008, excess deaths from violence in Iraq since March of 2003 must be at least a million. This conclusion can be reached more than one way. There is not much controversy about it in the scientific community. Some 310,000 of those were probably killed by US troops or by the US Air Force, with the bulk dying in bombing raids by US fighter jets and helicopter gunships on densely populated city and town quarters.

...

The wars of Iraq-- the Iran-Iraq War, the repressions of the Kurds and the Shiites, the Gulf War, and the American Calamity, may have left behind as many as 3 million widows. Having lost their family's breadwinner, many are destitute.

...

In these situations, typically 3 persons are wounded for every one killed. In Iraq, I suspect it is higher, because US bombings and guerrilla bombings are such a big part of the violence. But let us be conservative.

That would mean 3 million Iraqi wounded in the past five years.

...

As for the displaced (i.e. homeless), they amount to a startling 5 million persons. There were 1.8 million internally displaced in January of 2007, and by December it had risen to 2.4 million. There are 2.3 million externally displaced, 2 million of them in Jordan and Syria.

Cole translates these figures into equivalent numbers for the USA by using a factor of 11. For Australia, we should use a factor of 5/7 (according to CIA World Factbook) This would mean everyone in Sydney, Newcastle, and Woolongong would be either dead, wounded, or a refugee. There could be an overlap between wounded and refugee.

Cole concludes that:

I do know that the apocalypse that the United States has unleashed upon Iraq is among the greatest catastrophes to befall any country in the past 50 years. It is a much worse disaster over time than the Burmese cyclone or the Mississippi floods.

At least, the Australian Combat mission over as Iraq troops return except for those not classified as combat troops!

While Rudd vindicates anti-war movement — bring all the troops home

However, most Australian troops in Iraq will remain. While not classified as “combat” troops, the 800 remaining armed forces personnel are not deployed to help with reconstruction. They include soldiers guarding Australians in Baghdad’s fortified “Green Zone”, sailors guarding maritime oilfields, air force units, and advisors and trainers of death squad-linked, pro-occupation Iraqi forces.

We have the appearance of withdrawing without really withdrawing.


Read more!

Why the Celtics Won—From Auerbach to "Unbuntu"

Bill Taylor explains Why the Celtics Won—From Auerbach to "Unbuntu". (The Celtics are an American Basketball team). The key elements were pride and community.

The legendary coach, Red Auerbach, was interviewed in 1987:

“How do you motivate the players?” Alan asked, expecting, I imagine, a complicated, multi-faceted answer. “Pride, that’s all,” Red answered. “Pride of excellence. Pride of winning. I tell our guys, ‘Isn’t it nice to go around all summer and say that you’re a member of the greatest basketball team in the world.’”

Emphasis Mine

Unfortunately, under Capitalism, pride in workmanship is diminished as the extra care and time is an extra cost that apparently adds nothing to the bottom line.

The blight that affects computing today is that of "good enough". It is within our power to make Windows operate without the BSOD, but it is good enough that Windows works most of the time.

The pride of workmanship in computing is going. The user interface of choice is now a web page! Yes, it is good enough! But can we do better! With a shit facade like that, why would anyone spend effort making the code in the back end a source of pride?

The community aspect of the Celtics win is due to Archbishop Desmond Tutu:

As Tutu explained, “A person with Ubuntu is open and available to others, affirming of others, does not feel threatened that others are able and good, for he or she has a proper self-assurance that comes from knowing that he or she belongs in a greater whole and is diminished when others are humiliated or diminished…”

Emphasis Mine

Yet in our workplaces, we have competition between individuals for jobs, promotions, projects, and pay rises. We are only evaluated on individual performance. We are replaceable components in the industrial machine.

There is no community interest - only the interest of the Capitalist. The workplace is an artificial community created to serve Capitalism.

How can we have pride in what that does not belong to us?


Read more!

NDA Photographs

For those who are not on the GreenLeft Weekly e-group, links to photographs taken from the NDA are below:


Read more!